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The strategy for introduction of electric and autonomous vehicles - 12 Forum Gospodarcze TIME
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The strategy for introduction of electric and autonomous vehicles

Business models for electric and autonomous automotive industry

The development of electric automotive industry is one of the goals of the Polish Agenda for Sustainable Development  and the Electromobility Development Plan for Poland. Popularization of electric vehicles is one of the six pillars of the ICT industry development, presented  in  the Energy Strategy elaborated by the Polish Chamber of Commerce for Electronics and Telecommunications. We see the soon-to-come technological breakthrough as an opportunity to strengthen the position of Poland in the industry of manufacturers of electrical equipment, electronics and software for electric vehicles.

The main thesis of the panel discussion

The Polish ICT industry can boost its potential, by focusing on manufacturing goods designed for the electric and autonomous automotive industry. The development of electric automotive industry can contribute to the modernization of the Polish energy sector, reduce transport costs and increase the share of own fuel and energy sources in the energy balance of the country.

Description of the issue

The first electric vehicles have already appeared on the market and it is forecast that soon they become the basic means of transportation in local traffic. After 2020, market growth and a decrease in costs of production of energy storage units in an obvious way will increase the profitability of electric vehicles. A lot of companies seek for new business models that can boost the development of eclectic automotive industry. There’s an idea to extend the relatively high costs incurred by a customer over a longer period, so that the cost of a small urban vehicle and its operating costs become attractive to the target audience. Given the fact, that the number of Polish families possessing 2 cars constantly grows, customers may be interested in buying a city car with an electric drive. What kind of financial instruments could effectively stimulate the development of the market?

Development of electric automotive industry can translate into a decrease in sales of liquid fuels. At the same time, the volume of private investments in the production of motorization-oriented renewable energy constantly grows. It is highly probable that the use of system energy at night will increase and the importation rate of liquid fuels will decrease. Will the development of electric automotive industry give a chance to increase exportations and decrease importations? Will the change in the structure of demand and switching to the country’s energy sources require significant change in the structure of the State budget revenue streams? Right preparations can be made only based on correct forecasts. The technological transformation that will soon witnessed in the automotive industry will be accompanied by the implementation of the autonomous transport system and fast-paced changes in the Polish power industry. We believe that the right management of these processes can contribute to increasing the competitiveness of the Polish industry and the pace of the Polish economy’s development. In order to grasp the new business possibilities, it is imperative to fully synchronize the goals set out in the Polish Agenda for Sustainable Development, the Electromobility Development Plan for Poland, and the Energy Strategy with the plans of development of NGN and 5G broadband networks We should build the strategy, drawing from the Internet of Things and Artificial Intelligence. Driverless cars are especially needed in urban traffic, that is why construction works focus on the implementation of this technology in electric cars in the first place. In the case of electric cars, the cost of an “artificial driver” will be much lower than in the case of gasoline cars. Smaller interest in the development of autonomous systems in gasoline cars also results from the forecasts relating to the development of technologies of electricity storage. This leads to the conclusion that the development of e-mobility equally consists in building electric car networks, broadband communication networks and intelligent software. During the panel discussion we will try to combine in one whole the following notions: the concept of the industrial specialization, digital industry, development strategy for electric/autonomous transport and the importance of the rapid implementation of the formal rules that define the implementation of the necessary software and monitoring /metering. We want to popularize the information that the Electromobility Development Plan for Poland is a plan of development of autonomous transportation system. Will the development of autonomous electrical transportation systems will increase Poland’s power efficiency?

E-mobility constitutes an infrastructural and civilisation change, relating to:

  • Electrical power system

How to prepare for a possible increase in demand for electricity by 20 GWh per day by 2025 and approx. 100 GWh by 2030? When we will need planning systems for overnight charge, day charge management  etc.?; will electric cars  contribute to the development of renewable energy sources in Poland?

  • Fuel system

With increasing coverage, electric cars will require fast-charging stations  (the CCS standard has been approved by the EU). Is it possible that the development of inter-city transportation will require hydrogen infrastructure for transport? Does this mean that there is a  need to prepare comprehensive plans for the transformation of the power system of transport by 2025? Is this the announcement of the outbreak of a large number of private investments?

  • broadband networks, Smart Grids and Smart Cities

Should cities become involved in the promotion of electric and autonomous vehicles? How to organize traffic and  charging management in order  to ensure the compatibility of software, metering and security systems?

  • adaptation of cities to electric transportation systems (charging stations and 5g networks)

What kind of solutions seem currently the safest? Will the entire “intelligence” will be installed on the computers of cars or will it be supported by cloud software?

  • the new models of the functioning of cities, social behavior and the resulting business models.

How these changes will affect the lives of urban residents and the methods of use of  the roads and public space? Will it overload the Internet and the entire network infrastructure belonging to cities?

The following entities are invited to participate in the discussion:

  • manufacturers of vehicles and means of transport,
  • providers of infrastructure elements and integrators,
  • operators of ICT and power networks,
  • manufacturers of software and electronics.